Match Info

Date: 8 July 2022, Friday

Location: Tolka Park (Dublin)

Referee: O'Sullivan K. (Irl)


	Shelbourne		Finn Harps

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	4	Watch
	2.05	3	3.7	Watch
	2.1	3	3.8
	1.99	3.1	3.95
	2.03	3.35	4.19
	2	3	3.8
	2.04	3.3	3.9	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.11)	3.11 ↑ (3)	3.91 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shelbourne
46.2%

Draw
30%

Finn Harps
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

30.3%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

29%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shelbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Finn Harps has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shelbourne than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Finn Harps than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.2%	22.1%	11.8%

Shelbourne - Finn Harps Predictions

Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Shelbourne will win (votes: 45 - 66.2%). Finn Harps will win (votes: 8 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 22.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shelbourne: 55% – 77.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shelbourne won 1.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Shelbourne will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Shelbourne won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Shelbourne won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shelbourne
Irish Premier Division
02.07.22	Sligo Rovers - Shelbourne	3:1 ✺
24.06.22	Shelbourne - Dundalk	0:0 ✺
17.06.22	Bohemians Dublin - Shelbourne	1:0 ✺
27.05.22	Shamrock Rovers - Shelbourne	2:0 ✺
23.05.22	Shelbourne - University College Dublin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLLW
- Finn Harps
Irish Premier Division
01.07.22	Finn Harps - Shamrock Rovers	0:1 ✺
24.06.22	Finn Harps - St Patricks Athletic	2:2 ✺
18.06.22	Sligo Rovers - Finn Harps	3:0 ✺
27.05.22	Derry City - Finn Harps	2:2 ✺
23.05.22	Finn Harps - Dundalk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Irish Premier Division
29.04.22	Finn Harps - Shelbourne	1:0
18.03.22	Shelbourne - Finn Harps	0:3
19.09.20	Shelbourne - Finn Harps	1:1
04.08.20	Finn Harps - Shelbourne	0:1
Irish Division 1
20.07.18	Finn Harps - Shelbourne	0:0
11.05.18	Shelbourne - Finn Harps	0:0
09.03.18	Finn Harps - Shelbourne	1:1

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