Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 22 August 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi (Florence) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Hungary	20:00	Duna World / M4 Sport +
Italy	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8


	Fiorentina		Puskás Academy

	1	X	2
	1.18	7	10	Watch
	1.18	6.75	12
	1.2	6.5	13	Watch
	1.19	6.54	13.4
	1.18	6.79	13.83	Watch
	1.25	5	9
	1.19	7.65	15	Watch
	1.2	6.5	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.31)	6.59 ↑ (5.72)	12.4 ↑ (7.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina
78.3%

Draw
14.2%

Puskás Academy
7.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.6%

16.4%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

15%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fiorentina's performance.

Puskás Academy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fiorentina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puskás Academy than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puskás Academy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	3.1%	3.1%

Fiorentina - Puskás Academy Predictions

Users Predictions: Fiorentina will win (30 of 32 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. de Gea D. (G) 28. Martinez Quarta L. (C) 5. Pongracic M. 6. Ranieri L. 33. Kayode M. 42. Bianco A. 8. Mandragora R. 65. Parisi F. 23. Colpani A. 9. Beltran L. 7. Sottil R.	91. Pecsi A. (G) 23. Maceiras Q. 14. Golla W. 17. Stronati P. 33. Ormonde-Ottewill B. 16. Nissila U. 19. Favorov A. 15. Plsek J. 20. Soisalo M. 21. Puljic J. 25. Nagy Z. (C)
Substitutes
4. Amrabat S. 72. Barak A. 3. Biraghi C. 77. Brekalo J. 15. Comuzzo P. 2. Dodo 11. Ikone J. 19. Kean M. 99. Kouame C. 30. Martinelli T. (G) 24. Richardson A. 1. Terracciano P. (G)	31. Bevardi Z. 9. Colley L. 7. Komaromi G. 10. Levi J. 24. Markek T. (G) 66. Markgraf A. 22. Szolnoki R. 11. Tiscsuk A. 88. Vekony B.
Coaches
Palladino R.	Hornyak Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
9', 0 - 1, Nagy Z. (Pen),
12', 0 - 2, Soisalo M. ⚽, Puljic J. (A),
17', Martinez Quarta L. 🟨,
45+3', 1 - 2, Sottil R. ⚽, Parisi F. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ormonde-Ottewill B. ↓, Komaromi G. ↑,
46', Kayode M. ↓, Dodo ↑,
46', Beltran L. ↓, Kean M. ↑,
56', Nagy Z. 🟨,
56', Colpani A. ↓, Ikone J. ↑,
66', Bianco A. ↓, Amrabat S. ↑,
67', 2 - 2, Martinez Quarta L. ⚽, Mandragora R. (A),
74', Soisalo M. ↓, Levi J. ↑,
75', 3 - 2, Kean M. ⚽, Ikone J. (A),
79', Sottil R. ↓, Kouame C. ↑,
82', Favorov A. ↓, Colley L. ↑,
82', Puljic J. ↓, Szolnoki R. ↑,
87', Pongracic M. 🟨,
89', 3 - 3, Golla W. ⚽, Nissila U. (A),

Preview

1st leg.

Fiorentina is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Puskas Academy is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fiorentina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Fiorentina have a series of guest games.

Recently Puskas Academy have a series of home games.

In this match Fiorentina is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina
Italian Serie A
17.08.24	Parma - Fiorentina	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Freiburg - Fiorentina	0:2 ✺
05.08.24	Grosseto - Fiorentina	2:7 ✺
04.08.24	Fiorentina - Montpellier	2:1 ✺
30.07.24	Hull City - Fiorentina	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWWWT
- Puskás Academy
Hungarian NB I
18.08.24	Puskás Academy - MTK Budapest	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.08.24	Puskás Academy - Ararat-Armenia	3:3 ✺
Hungarian NB I
11.08.24	Puskás Academy - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
08.08.24	Ararat-Armenia - Puskás Academy	0:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
04.08.24	Puskás Academy - Zalaegerszegi TE	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTWWW

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