The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fiorentina 43.2%
Draw 25.8%
Atalanta 31%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.2%
26.9%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.7%
26.6%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fiorentina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fiorentina than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
14.3%
14.3%
Fiorentina - Atalanta Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Fiorentina will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Atalanta will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 18th in the Relegation - Serie B and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Fiorentina (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Atalanta has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Fiorentina could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Fiorentina is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Fiorentina has recorded 8 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:35 (averaging 1.4:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fiorentina against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 13:10 goals (averaging 1.4:1.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Atalanta
8
3
1
4
14:15
-1
10
18
Fiorentina
8
1
1
6
9:19
-10
4
Outrights of Italian Serie A for now
Atalanta: 0.59% Fiorentina: 0.18%
Last Results with these Odds
Fiorentina - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 41.16%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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