Match Info

Primavera 1 - Round 28

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sportitalia
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Fiorentina U20		Bologna U20

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.05
	1.71	4	4.25	Watch
	1.72	3.85	4.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.72)	3.82 ↑ (3.6)	4.23 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina U20
54%

Draw
24.2%

Bologna U20
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

25%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

26.4%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Bologna U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina U20 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna U20 than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Fiorentina U20 - Bologna U20 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Bologna U20 (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna U20 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Leonardelli P. (G) 19. Trapani N. 60. Kouadio E. 67. Sadotti E. 33. Evangelista C. 16. Keita B. 8. Deli L. 14. Kone M. 21. Angiolini G. 28. Mazzeo B. 61. Braschi R.	22. Franceschelli M. (G) 15. Papazov D. 19. Nesi L. 30. Tomasevic B. 28. Negri S. 32. N’Diaye A. 10. Lai L. 42. Libra M. 20. Baroncioni D. 43. Lo Monaco L. 9. Castaldo F.
Substitutes
80. Atzeni D. 63. Bonanno P. 31. Conti G. 30. Fei G. (G) 18. Jallow S. 23. Kospo E. 47. Montenegro L. 17. Perrotti A. 10. Puzzoli G. 72. Sturli E. 6. Turnone N.	35. Anastasio M. 21. Armanini F. 36. Bousnina F. 4. Briguglio C. 7. Ferrari F. 13. Francioli D. 34. Gnudi R. (G) 5. Juncaj F. 26. Markovic P. 16. Nordvall O. 23. Zonta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', 0 - 1, N’Diaye A. ⚽,
79', 1 - 1, Jallow S. ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, Braschi R. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Bologna U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Bologna U20 has had a series of away games.

In this match, Fiorentina U20 is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina U20 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Fiorentina U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Bologna U20	5	3	0	2	12:12	0	9
18	Fiorentina U20	5	0	3	2	5:7	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina U20
Italian Primavera 1
28.02.26	Cesena U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Fiorentina U20 - Lazio U20	4:1 ✺
15.02.26	Verona U20 - Fiorentina U20	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Primavera
11.02.26	Sassuolo U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:0 ✺
Italian Primavera 1
24.01.26	Fiorentina U20 - Genoa U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWTLW
- Bologna U20
Italian Primavera 1
22.02.26	Parma U20 - Bologna U20	0:4 ✺
08.02.26	Atalanta U20 - Bologna U20	0:0 ✺
26.01.26	Roma U20 - Bologna U20	2:3 ✺
22.01.26	Bologna U20 - Cesena U20	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Lecce U20 - Bologna U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
18.10.25	Bologna U20 - Fiorentina U20	0:2
27.01.25	Bologna U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:3
01.12.24	Fiorentina U20 - Bologna U20	3:1

Fiorentina U20 - Bologna U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide