Match Info

Primavera 1 - Play Offs - Final

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Curva Fiesole - Viola Park (Bagno a Ripoli)


	Fiorentina U20		Parma U20

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.1	3.2
	2.11	3.15	3.51
	2.16	3.08	3.54	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.3
	2.06	3.08	3.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.07)	3.06 ↓ (3.6)	3.4 ↑ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina U20
43.5%

Draw
29.7%

Parma U20
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

25.9%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

26.6%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Parma U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina U20 than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma U20 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Fiorentina U20 - Parma U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Leonardelli P. (G) 62. Balbo L. 7. Bertolini G. 61. Braschi R. 64. Deli L. 23. Kospo E. 60. Kouadio E. 28. Mazzeo B. 47. Montenegro L. 69. Puzzoli G. 19. Trapani N.	64. Astaldi G. (G) 75. Cardinali A. 70. Conde B. 15. D'Intino R. 25. Diop D. 17. Drobnic D. 47. Konate A. 63. Mena M. 76. Mikolajewski D. 65. Plicco E. . Tigani E.
Substitutes
3. Ademi A. 21. Angiolini G. 80. Atzeni D. 4. Bonanno P. 31. Conti G. 33. Evangelista C. 30. Fei G. (G) 18. Jallow S. 14. Kone M. 72. Sturli E. 6. Turnone N.	79. Avramescu I. 21. Balduzzi D. 12. Castaldo A. . Chimezie G. 60. Mazzocchi A. (G) 80. Mengoni F. 45. Opoku M. 13. Pajsar K. 82. Sartori F. 90. Semedo A. 10. Vranici D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', Bertolini G. ↓, Kone M. ↑,
65', Balbo L. 🟨,
68', Plicco E. ↓, Castaldo A. ↑,
74', 1 - 0, Braschi R. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Diop D. ↓, Vranici D. ↑,
80', Puzzoli G. ↓, Conti G. ↑,
83', 2 - 0, Kouadio E. ⚽,
86', Tigani E. ↓, Mengoni F. ↑,
86', D'Intino R. ↓, Semedo A. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Mikolajewski D. ⚽,
88', Balbo L. ↓, Atzeni D. ↑,
88', Mazzeo B. ↓, Turnone N. ↑,
90+3', Castaldo A. 🟨,
90+4', Conde B. 🟨,

Preview

Fiorentina U20 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Parma U20 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Parma U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fiorentina U20 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fiorentina U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Parma U20	5	3	2	0	11:5	6	11
18	Fiorentina U20	5	0	3	2	5:7	-2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Fiorentina U20 - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 45.05%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina U20
Italian Primavera 1
16.05.26	Lecce U20 - Fiorentina U20	2:0 ✺
27.04.26	Fiorentina U20 - Monza U20	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Juventus U20 - Fiorentina U20	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Fiorentina U20 - Sassuolo U20	1:0 ✺
06.04.26	Fiorentina U20 - Frosinone U20	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLWW
- Parma U20
Italian Primavera 1
25.05.26	Parma U20 - Cesena U20	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Monza U20 - Parma U20	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Parma U20 - Milan U20	4:2 ✺
02.05.26	Lazio U20 - Parma U20	3:4 ✺
20.04.26	Atalanta U20 - Parma U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Primavera 1
20.01.26	Parma U20 - Fiorentina U20	2:1

Fiorentina U20 - Parma U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide