Match Info

Primavera 1 - Round 33

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sportitalia
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Fiorentina U20		Sassuolo U20

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.65	4.75
	1.62	4	5.1
	1.59	4.13	4.99	Watch
	1.6	3.5	4.75
	1.56	3.8	5.07	Watch
	1.47	4.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.47)	3.93 ↓ (4.5)	4.98 ↓ (5.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorentina U20
58.3%

Draw
23.3%

Sassuolo U20
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

20.3%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

19.6%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorentina U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Sassuolo U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentina U20 than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fiorentina U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo U20 than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Fiorentina U20 - Sassuolo U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Leonardelli P. (G) 80. Atzeni D. 31. Conti G. 33. Evangelista C. 18. Jallow S. 28. Mazzeo B. 47. Montenegro L. 5. Sadotti E. 72. Sturli E. 19. Trapani N. 6. Turnone N.	80. Nyarko L. (G) 17. Amendola C. 76. Barani L. 19. Campani A. 7. Cardascio A. 27. Daldum S. 14. Kulla G. 4. Macchioni T. 11. Negri G. 8. Seminari G. 6. Vezzosi G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Kulla G. ⚽,
21', 0 - 2, Daldum S. ⚽,
25', Seminari G. 🟨,
28', 1 - 2, Mazzeo B. ⚽,
39', Sturli E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Sturli E. 🟨,
52', Negri G. 🟨,
61', Atzeni D. ↓, Bertolini G. ↑,
67', Turnone N. ↓, Bonanno P. ↑,
87', Bertolini G. 🟥,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primavera 1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 16).

Fiorentina U20 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sassuolo U20 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fiorentina U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fiorentina U20 is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Fiorentina U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Fiorentina U20 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Sassuolo U20	5	1	1	3	8:12	-4	4
18	Fiorentina U20	5	0	3	2	5:7	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiorentina U20
Italian Primavera 1
06.04.26	Fiorentina U20 - Frosinone U20	5:1 ✺
22.03.26	Cagliari U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:2 ✺
16.03.26	Fiorentina U20 - Roma U20	1:1 ✺
04.03.26	Fiorentina U20 - Bologna U20	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Cesena U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWTWL
- Sassuolo U20
Coppa Italia Primavera
08.04.26	Sassuolo U20 - Atalanta U20	0:2 ✺
Italian Primavera 1
04.04.26	Sassuolo U20 - Inter U20	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Cremonese U20 - Sassuolo U20	0:0 ✺
07.03.26	Napoli U20 - Sassuolo U20	5:2 ✺
03.03.26	Sassuolo U20 - Juventus U20	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Primavera
11.02.26	Sassuolo U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:0
Italian Primavera 1
01.12.25	Sassuolo U20 - Fiorentina U20	1:1
23.02.25	Fiorentina U20 - Sassuolo U20	2:3
15.12.24	Sassuolo U20 - Fiorentina U20	2:0

Fiorentina U20 - Sassuolo U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide