Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 34

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio comunale (Fiorenzuola d'Arda)


	Fiorenzuola		Prato

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.25	1.88
	3.7	3.4	1.86
	3.55	3.28	1.92
	3.79	3.36	1.86
	3.7	3.4	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↓ (3.68)	3.34 ↓ (3.37)	1.88 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiorenzuola
24.8%

Draw
27.1%

Prato
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

26.8%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

24.4%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiorenzuola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Prato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorenzuola than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prato than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Fiorenzuola - Prato Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+11', 0 - 1, Girgi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 0 - 2, Pereira L. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 8).

Fiorenzuola has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Prato's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Prato is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Fiorenzuola won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Fiorenzuola won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Fiorenzuola 1922
Italian Serie D - Group D
27.04.25	Tuttocuoio - Fiorenzuola	0:0 ✺
17.04.25	Fiorenzuola - Lentigione	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Ravenna - Fiorenzuola	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Fiorenzuola - Sammaurese	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Progresso - Fiorenzuola	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 TLLWW
- AC Prato
Italian Serie D - Group D
27.04.25	Prato - Progresso	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Corticella - Prato	0:3 ✺
13.04.25	Prato - Cittadella Vis Modena	1:3 ✺
06.04.25	Zenith Prato - Prato	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Prato - Tau Altopascio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
22.12.24	Prato - Fiorenzuola	5:0
20.02.21	Fiorenzuola - Prato	4:1
27.09.20	Prato - Fiorenzuola	1:0

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