The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Prato 40.1%
Draw 28.9%
Tau Altopascio 31%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.3%
29.8%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39%
31.1%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Prato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Tau Altopascio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Prato than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tau Altopascio than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Prato - Tau Altopascio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2', 1 - 1, Lattarulo I. ⚽,
9', 2 - 1, Verde F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )).
Prato has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tau is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Prato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
Including home match between the teams, Prato won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.