Match Info

Date: 27 July 2020, Monday


	Fjölnir		Valur

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.5	1.53	Watch
	5.25	4.5	1.45
	5	4.65	1.52	Watch
	4.7	4.2	1.52
	5.23	4.65	1.56
	5.25	4.4	1.5
	5.25	4.75	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.13 ↓ (5.71)	4.52 ↓ (4.64)	1.52 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fjölnir
18.1%

Draw
20.6%

Valur
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.2%

19.9%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.6%

16.7%

76.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fjölnir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Valur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fjölnir than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valur than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12%	12%	76%

Fjölnir - Valur Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Fjölnir will win (votes: 6 - 12%). Valur will win (votes: 38 - 76%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 12%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valur: 64.2% – 87.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ungmennafélagið Fjölnir
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
22.07.20	KR Reykjavík - Fjölnir	2:2 ✺
18.07.20	Fjölnir - FH Hafnarfjordur	0:3 ✺
13.07.20	KA Akureyri - Fjölnir	1:1 ✺
08.07.20	Fjölnir - Grótta	0:3 ✺
04.07.20	Fjölnir - Fylkir	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLTLL
- Valur Reykjavik
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
23.07.20	Valur - Fylkir	3:0 ✺
19.07.20	Breiðablik - Valur	1:2 ✺
13.07.20	Valur - Stjarnan	0:0 ✺
08.07.20	Vikingur Reykjavik - Valur	1:5 ✺
03.07.20	Valur - Akraness	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic League Cup
22.02.20	Valur - Fjölnir	2:3
Icelandic Reykjavik Cup
30.01.20	Valur - Fjölnir	1:0
Icelandic League Cup
22.02.19	Fjölnir - Valur	2:2
Icelandic Reykjavik Cup
16.01.19	Fjölnir - Valur	1:0
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
25.08.18	Valur - Fjölnir	5:3
04.06.18	Fjölnir - Valur	0:2
Icelandic Reykjavik Cup
06.01.18	Fjölnir - Valur	4:2

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