Match Info

BRAZIL: PERNAMBUCANO - ROUND 7

Date: 8 February 2024, Thursday


	Flamengo Arcoverde		Afogados da Ingazeira

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.05
	3.3	3.5	2.05
	3.22	3.28	2.12
	2.6	3.4	2.3
	3.5	3.42	1.93
	3.2	3.4	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.5)	3.38 ↑ (3.3)	2.08 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flamengo Arcoverde
29.1%

Draw
27%

Afogados da Ingazeira
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

27.3%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

25.9%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flamengo Arcoverde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Flamengo Arcoverde's form might have worsened.

Afogados da Ingazeira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Afogados da Ingazeira's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo Arcoverde than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Flamengo Arcoverde, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afogados da Ingazeira than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Afogados da Ingazeira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Flamengo Arcoverde - Afogados da Ingazeira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Guilherme Boer (G) 10. Cal Rodrigues 8. Guilherme 2. Gustavinho 6. Joao Gabriel 5. Joel 9. Kelsen 11. Leo Pedro 4. Matheus 3. Prado Marinho G. E. 7. Willian	1. Danilo Dantas (G) 8. Alemao 2. Artur Potiguar 11. Elias 22. Felipe Pacajus 10. Fernandinho 3. Gabriel Alves (C) 5. Jordan 7. Palominha 9. Rodrigo 6. Weslley

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Flamengo Arcoverde has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Afogados is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Flamengo Arcoverde won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flamengo Arcoverde
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
01.02.24	Flamengo Arcoverde - Sport Recife	0:3 ✺
28.01.24	Petrolina - Flamengo Arcoverde	1:1 ✺
25.01.24	CA Porto - Flamengo Arcoverde	2:1 ✺
21.01.24	Flamengo Arcoverde - Central SC	2:3 ✺
17.01.24	Santa Cruz Recife - Flamengo Arcoverde	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTLLL
- Afogados da Ingazeira FC
Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
01.02.24	Afogados da Ingazeira - Retrô Brasil	0:1 ✺
29.01.24	Sport Recife - Afogados da Ingazeira	2:0 ✺
25.01.24	Petrolina - Afogados da Ingazeira	2:2 ✺
22.01.24	Afogados da Ingazeira - CA Porto	3:2 ✺
14.01.24	Central SC - Afogados da Ingazeira	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Pernambucano
13.03.19	Afogados da Ingazeira - Flamengo Arcoverde	2:1
08.01.17	Afogados da Ingazeira - Flamengo Arcoverde	1:1

Flamengo Arcoverde - Afogados da Ingazeira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide