Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday


	Flaminia Civita Castellana		Nocerina

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.25	1.95
	3.22	3.46	2.03	Watch
	3.33	3.26	2.02
	3.33	3.2	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.97)	3.29 ↓ (3.31)	2.01 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flaminia Civita Castellana
27.3%

Draw
27.6%

Nocerina
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

27.6%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

26.6%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flaminia Civita Castellana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flaminia Civita Castellana than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Flaminia Civita Castellana - Nocerina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Flaminia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nocerina is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nocerina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nocerina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Flaminia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Flaminia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Flaminia Civita Castellana
Italian Serie D - Group G
30.11.25	Albalonga - Flaminia Civita Castellana	3:3 ✺
23.11.25	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Palmese 1914	1:3 ✺
16.11.25	Trastevere - Flaminia Civita Castellana	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Anzio	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Monastir - Flaminia Civita Castellana	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLWLT
- Nocerina
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.12.25	Francavilla - Nocerina	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
30.11.25	Nocerina - Atletico Lodigiani	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Latte Dolce - Nocerina	0:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
19.11.25	Nocerina - Castrumfavara	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
16.11.25	Nocerina - Sarrabus Ogliastra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group G
04.02.24	Nocerina - Flaminia Civita Castellana	1:0
08.10.23	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Nocerina	1:1

Flaminia Civita Castellana - Nocerina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide