Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 3 - Round 11

Date: 15 June 2024, Saturday


	Flint		Bærum

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.75	1.44
	5.51	5.16	1.36
	5.27	4.86	1.41
	5.5	5	1.36
	5.63	5.36	1.42
	5.7	5.2	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.52 ↑ (2.94)	5.06 ↑ (4.2)	1.39 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flint
16.5%

Draw
18%

Bærum
65.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

21.7%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

20.3%

44.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flint has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Flint's form might have worsened.

Bærum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bærum's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Flint, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bærum than the current prediction. (-21.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bærum, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	12.5%	87.5%

Flint - Bærum Predictions

Users Predictions: Bærum will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
88', 0 - 1, Kristensen K. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Flint is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bærum is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bærum will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IL Flint
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
08.06.24	Nordstrand - Flint	3:0 ✺
01.06.24	Flint - Gamle Oslo	2:2 ✺
25.05.24	Åskollen - Flint	3:0 ✺
20.05.24	Flint - Frigg Oslo	1:2 ✺
13.05.24	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo 2 - Flint	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTLLT
- Bærum Sportsklubb
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
08.06.24	Bærum - Ullern	2:2 ✺
01.06.24	Bærum - Oppsal	3:2 ✺
25.05.24	Nordstrand - Bærum	2:2 ✺
20.05.24	Bærum - Asker Fotball	1:4 ✺
13.05.24	Sarpsborg 2 - Bærum	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TWTLL

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