Match Info

WALES: Cymru North - Round 9

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday


	Llay Welfare		Penrhyncoch

	1	X	2
	1.81	4.1	3.3
	1.84	4.1	3.14
	1.81	4.05	3.35
	1.81	4.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.21)	4.09 ↑ (3.83)	3.27 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llay Welfare
50%

Draw
22.2%

Penrhyncoch
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

23.6%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

22.6%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llay Welfare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Llay Welfare's performance.

Penrhyncoch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Penrhyncoch might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llay Welfare than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Llay Welfare that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Penrhyncoch could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Llay Welfare - Penrhyncoch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Williams M. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Owen D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llay Welfare
Welsh Cymru North
14.09.24	Llay Welfare - Caersws	1:0 ✺
07.09.24	Prestatyn Town - Llay Welfare	6:2 ✺
26.08.24	Bangor 1876 - Llay Welfare	3:0 ✺
23.08.24	Llay Welfare - Holywell Town	2:5 ✺
17.08.24	Airbus UK Broughton - Llay Welfare	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLL
- Penrhyncoch FC
Welsh Cymru North
14.09.24	Penrhyncoch - Holywell Town	0:1 ✺
07.09.24	Colwyn Bay - Penrhyncoch	4:0 ✺
26.08.24	Penrhyncoch - Denbigh Town	4:2 ✺
23.08.24	Ruthin Town - Penrhyncoch	2:3 ✺
17.08.24	Penrhyncoch - Gresford Athletic	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 LLWWL

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