Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 31

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday

Location: A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)

Referee: Koppel K. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	ETV 2, Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV


	Flora Tallinn		Levadia Tallinn

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.60	4.40	1.49
	5.10	4.30	1.49
	4.74	4.74	1.59
	5.6	4.9	1.46	Watch
	4.55	4.65	1.55
	4.54	4.40	1.61	Watch
	5.00	4.60	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↓ (4.9)	4.57 ↑ (4.3)	1.52 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flora Tallinn
19%

Draw
20.3%

Levadia Tallinn
60.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.6%

21.2%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5%

20%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flora Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Levadia Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levadia Tallinn than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Flora Tallinn - Levadia Tallinn Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Flora will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Levadia will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Grunvald E. (G) 8. Teevali T. 23. Kolobov M. 6. Veering R. 26. Tovstik S. 14. Varjund T. (C) 32. Kreida V. 18. Valdmets R. 7. Kuraksin D. 50. Sorga E. 29. Alamaa S.	99. Vallner K. (G) 23. Liivak F. 35. Iboro V. 4. Tammik T. 5. Roosnupp M. 6. Peetson R. (C) 36. Joao Pedro 19. Reis G. 11. Ainsalu M. 9. Kutateladze N. 21. Skvortsov M.
Substitutes
9. Alliku R. 67. Antonov I. 88. Jakovenko A. 4. Jekimov M. 89. Kalimullin M. 99. Kivila K. (G) 3. Kollo A. 24. Pihela O. 17. Usta T. 20. Zenjov S.	18. Alexandre 1. Ani O. (G) 17. Kirss R. 7. Lehtmets G. 20. Nwankwo A. 33. Otoo E. 28. Zahovaiko T.
Coaches
Mool K.	Zahovaiko V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', Kutateladze N. 🟨,
13', 1 - 0, Sorga E. (Penalty Awarded),
20', 1 - 1, Ainsalu M. ⚽, Skvortsov M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 1 - 2, Joao Pedro ⚽, Skvortsov M. (A),
58', Tovstik S. 🟨,
65', Valdmets R. 🟨,
66', Reis G. ↓, Otoo E. ↑,
71', Kuraksin D. ↓, Antonov I. ↑,
71', Varjund T. ↓, Alliku R. ↑,
72', 1 - 3, Liivak F. ⚽, Kutateladze N. (A),
79', Valdmets R. ↓, Kalimullin M. ↑,
81', Kutateladze N. ↓, Kirss R. ↑,
81', Skvortsov M. ↓, Lehtmets G. ↑,
81', Joao Pedro ↓, Alexandre ↑,
82', Tovstik S. ↓, Usta T. ↑,
87', Roosnupp M. 🟨,

Preview

Levadia is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification ).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flora won 3.

Flora has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Levadia is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Recently, Levadia has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Levadia carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Flora has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:32 (averaging 1.2:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Flora against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 14:17 goals (averaging 1.3:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Levadia ✔	30	23	6	1	82:21	61	75
2	Flora	30	18	1	11	59:41	18	55

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flora Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
11.10.26	Kuressaare - Flora Tallinn	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Flora Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Nõmme United - Flora Tallinn	2:3 ✺
08.09.26	Narva Trans - Flora Tallinn	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Flora Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWTW
- Levadia Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
11.10.26	Levadia Tallinn - Paide LM	1:0 ✺
20.09.26	Narva Trans - Levadia Tallinn	1:1 ✺
17.09.26	Levadia Tallinn - Tammeka	6:0 ✺
12.09.26	Levadia Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus	4:0 ✺
09.09.26	Levadia Tallinn - Kuressaare	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
28.06.26	Levadia Tallinn - Flora Tallinn	1:2
13.06.26	Flora Tallinn - Levadia Tallinn	1:3
19.04.26	Levadia Tallinn - Flora Tallinn	4:0
Club Friendly
14.02.26	Flora Tallinn - Levadia Tallinn	1:0
Estonian Cup
29.10.25	Flora Tallinn - Levadia Tallinn	3:1 ET
Estonian Meistriliiga
24.09.25	Flora Tallinn - Levadia Tallinn	2:3
17.09.25	Levadia Tallinn - Flora Tallinn	1:3

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