The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Flora Tallinn 61.3%
Draw 20.6%
Pärnu Vaprus 18.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.1%
19.7%
16.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.1%
19.1%
15.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flora Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Pärnu Vaprus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Flora Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Grunvald E. (C) 23. Kolobov M. 24. Pihela O. 6. Veering R. 26. Tovstik S. 67. Antonov I. 18. Valdmets R. 29. Alamaa S. 49. Kukkonen M. 7. Kuraksin D. 50. Sorga E.
16. Nomm O. (C) 28. Lipp M. 43. Seppik M. 15. Aloe K. 90. Sild J. 8. Pajo T. 20. Valja H. 24. Villota M. 10. Viidas S. 17. Kapper S. 42. Limberg M.
Substitutes
9. Alliku R. 4. Jekimov M. 89. Kalimullin M. 99. Kivila K. (G) 97. Korjus U. 78. Kukk M. 41. Neltsas R. 53. Sammul R. 8. Teevali T. 17. Usta T. 55. Zotov D.
5. Aer S. 64. Allas J. 11. Kauber K. 19. Korre A. 74. Kutsar K. 66. Nomm U. 14. Orm R. 9. Poder J. 3. Rand K. 1. Vainu H. (G) 7. Vallik V.
Coaches
Mool K.
Prins I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 2)
55', 0 - 1, Limberg M. ⚽, Viidas S. (A),
60', 1 - 1, Sorga E. ⚽, Alamaa S. (A),
60', Kuraksin D. ↓, Alliku R. ↑,
60', Kukkonen M. ↓, Zotov D. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Sorga E. ⚽, Zotov D. (A),
75', 2 - 2, Kapper S. ⚽, Limberg M. (A),
76', Kapper S. ↓, Vallik V. ↑,
76', Viidas S. ↓, Poder J. ↑,
80', Sorga E. ↓, Usta T. ↑,
86', Villota M. ↓, Orm R. ↑,
90+2', Aloe K. ↓, Nomm U. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 2, Alamaa S. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flora won 4.
Flora has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Pärnu Vaprus have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Flora could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Flora is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Flora has recorded 16 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 49:11 (averaging 2.5:0.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Flora against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 17:4 goals (averaging 1.9:0.4 per game).