The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Levadia Tallinn 63.5%
Draw 22%
Paide LM 14.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
65.6%
18.7%
15.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.5%
17.7%
14.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Levadia Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Paide LM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levadia Tallinn than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Levadia Tallinn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paide LM than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Levadia Tallinn - Paide LM Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Vallner K. (G) 23. Liivak F. 35. Iboro V. 20. Nwankwo A. 29. Saliste J. 18. Alexandre 36. Joao Pedro 21. Skvortsov M. 11. Ainsalu M. (C) 10. Wendell 9. Kutateladze N.
12. Meerits M. (G) 2. Lilander M. 27. Baranov N. 3. Victor Hugo 4. Andrade 6. Daniel Cabral 77. Luts D. 21. Smirnov R. 10. Miller M. (C) 14. Jobarteh M. 29. Darboe D.
Substitutes
1. Ani O. (G) 17. Kirss R. 7. Lehtmets G. 33. Otoo E. 6. Peetson R. 19. Reis G. 5. Roosnupp M. 4. Tammik T. 8. Zakarlyuka A.
17. Cham P. A. 28. Hoim O. 99. Jarju E. (G) 37. Kanne K. 19. Luts S. 23. Palacios J. 20. Piht K. 63. Reivik K. 56. Sapp M. (G) 16. Surogin A.
Coaches
Zahovaiko V.
Kink T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Smirnov R. 🟨,
6', Liivak F. 🟨,
23', Wendell 🟨,
31', Saliste J. 🟨,
36', Jobarteh M. 🟨,
45+2', Wendell (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jobarteh M. ↓, Palacios J. ↑,
46', Smirnov R. ↓, Hoim O. ↑,
46', Darboe D. ↓, Piht K. ↑,
52', Iboro V. 🟨,
66', Kutateladze N. ↓, Roosnupp M. ↑,
66', Skvortsov M. ↓, Reis G. ↑,
71', Luts D. ↓, Luts S. ↑,
73', Alexandre ↓, Tammik T. ↑,
73', Nwankwo A. ↓, Otoo E. ↑,
77', Tammik T. 🟨,
80', Piht K. 🟨,
81', Miller M. ↓, Surogin A. ↑,
89', 1 - 0, Reis G. ⚽, Liivak F. (A),
90+4', Wendell ↓, Kirss R. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levadia won 3.
Levadia has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Paide has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this match, Levadia enters as the overwhelming favorite.
Our forecast points to a victory for Levadia in today's match, at odds of 1.43.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Levadia has recorded 11 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 34:20 (averaging 1.7:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Levadia against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 21:11 goals (averaging 1.9:1 per game).