Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 28

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Männiku Stadium (Tallinn)

Referee: Kulljastinen K. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nõmme United		Flora Tallinn

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.00	4.00	1.61
	4.50	4.30	1.55
	4.08	4.26	1.74
	4.89	4.65	1.54	Watch
	3.85	4.20	1.72
	3.91	4.28	1.73	Watch
	3.90	4.15	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (3.96)	4.26 ↑ (4.14)	1.65 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nõmme United
22.2%

Draw
21.7%

Flora Tallinn
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

22.2%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.8%

21.9%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nõmme United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Flora Tallinn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Nõmme United - Flora Tallinn Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Nõmme United (1.82) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nõmme United (votes: 1 - 50%). Flora (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. Purg G. (G) 4. Alteberg A. 50. Geiger S. 6. Palts M. 23. Laanelaid K. 10. Frolov A. (C) 14. Vassiljev N. 45. Jarvelaid H. 49. Beglarishvili Z. 19. Krasnov I. 20. Matas K.	33. Grunvald E. (C) 67. Antonov I. 23. Kolobov M. 24. Pihela O. 6. Veering R. 8. Teevali T. 18. Valdmets R. 20. Zenjov S. 49. Kukkonen M. 7. Kuraksin D. 50. Sorga E.
Substitutes
55. Chanda R. 11. Chisala B. 16. Dacosta O. 15. Evans T. 1. Lagus G. (G) 27. Miil M. 2. Morishige Y. 26. Oostenbrink K. 9. Ounapuu E. 7. Torres A.	9. Alliku R. 75. Isok K. 88. Jakovenko A. 4. Jekimov M. 41. Kalvik K. 99. Kivila K. (G) 97. Korjus U. 52. Neltsas R. 53. Sammul R. 93. Silm J. 17. Usta T.
Coaches
Wynalda E.	Mool K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Krasnov I. ⚽, Beglarishvili Z. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Vassiljev N. ↓, Torres A. ↑,
51', Zenjov S. ↓, Alliku R. ↑,
58', Pihela O. 🟨,
64', Matas K. ↓, Evans T. ↑,
64', Laanelaid K. ↓, Morishige Y. ↑,
67', 1 - 1, Valdmets R. ⚽, Alliku R. (A),
67', Pihela O. ↓, Jekimov M. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Beglarishvili Z. ⚽, Evans T. (A),
81', Krasnov I. ↓, Chisala B. ↑,
85', Kuraksin D. ↓, Usta T. ↑,
85', Kukkonen M. ↓, Jakovenko A. ↑,
85', Kuraksin D. ↓, Usta T. ↑,
89', 2 - 2, Teevali T. ⚽, Antonov I. (A),
90+4', 2 - 3, Usta T. ⚽, Alliku R. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Flora is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:19. (average 0.5:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme United won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.3:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Flora	29	18	1	10	59:39	20	55
9	Nomme Utd	29	9	1	19	47:68	-21	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nõmme United
Estonian Meistriliiga
08.09.26	Nõmme Kalju - Nõmme United	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Nõmme United	1:0 ✺
Estonian Cup
02.09.26	Nõmme United - Pärnu Vaprus	3:2 ✺
Estonian Meistriliiga
29.08.26	Nõmme United - Harju JK Laagri	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Paide LM - Nõmme United	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWLL
- Flora Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
08.09.26	Narva Trans - Flora Tallinn	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Flora Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju	2:1 ✺
02.09.26	Flora Tallinn - Tammeka	3:2 ✺
30.08.26	Flora Tallinn - Paide LM	1:2 ✺
26.08.26	Tammeka - Flora Tallinn	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
17.07.26	Flora Tallinn - Nõmme United	1:2
29.05.26	Nõmme United - Flora Tallinn	0:4
Estonian Cup
10.03.26	Flora Tallinn - Nõmme United	3:1
Estonian Meistriliiga
07.03.26	Flora Tallinn - Nõmme United	3:0
05.10.24	Nõmme United - Flora Tallinn	0:4
18.08.24	Flora Tallinn - Nõmme United	1:0
29.06.24	Nõmme United - Flora Tallinn	1:1

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