Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 30

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kuressaare Linnastaadion (Kuressaare) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Osomkov G. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Estonia	16:30	Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV


	Kuressaare		Flora Tallinn

	1	X	2
	4.20	4.00	1.58
	4.35	4.00	1.61
	4.62	4.33	1.65
	4.47	4.49	1.6	Watch
	4.55	4.10	1.62
	4.66	4.15	1.63	Watch
	4.50	4.00	1.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↓ (5.3)	4.15 ↓ (4.3)	1.61 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kuressaare
20.6%

Draw
22.2%

Flora Tallinn
57.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.3%

21.3%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

20.9%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kuressaare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Flora Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flora Tallinn than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flora Tallinn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kuressaare - Flora Tallinn Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Nomm K. (C) 23. Saar R. 36. Piil R. 21. Lukka M. 68. Vahermagi J. 77. Demidov E. 28. Lukas R. 9. Svedovski A. 8. Andreas D. 88. Jurisoo T. 80. Tarkmeel R.	33. Grunvald E. (C) 4. Jekimov M. 24. Pihela O. 6. Veering R. 26. Tovstik S. 18. Valdmets R. 32. Kreida V. 7. Kuraksin D. 49. Kukkonen M. 29. Alamaa S. 17. Usta T.
Substitutes
10. Kivi A. 14. Kobin J. 3. Leedo K. 25. Lonks J. 58. Medvedev A. 41. Opp M. 27. Prunn S. 22. Ristna S. (G) 17. Roivassepp G. 5. Sinilaid S. 7. Talu R.	9. Alliku R. 67. Antonov I. 99. Kivila K. (G) 23. Kolobov M. 97. Korjus U. 76. Sammul R. 50. Sorga E. 8. Teevali T. 14. Varjund T. 55. Zotov D.
Coaches
Post S.	Mool K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', Lukka M. 🟨,
20', Pihela O. 🟨,
30', Jekimov M. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Svedovski A. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Jurisoo T. ⚽, Andreas D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jekimov M. ↓, Teevali T. ↑,
52', Piil R. 🟨,
54', Kukkonen M. ↓, Varjund T. ↑,
54', Usta T. ↓, Sorga E. ↑,
62', Kuraksin D. ↓, Alliku R. ↑,
67', Veering R. 🟨,
71', Tarkmeel R. ↓, Kivi A. ↑,
71', Svedovski A. ↓, Talu R. ↑,
73', Demidov E. 🟨,
78', Valdmets R. ↓, Zotov D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 1.

In recent outings, Kuressaare has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Flora is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this matchup, Flora is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Kuressaare has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 17 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:54 (averaging 0.9:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kuressaare against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 8 losses, with 13:26 goals (averaging 1.3:2.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Flora	34	19	1	14	64:49	15	58
9	Kuressaare	33	10	5	18	34:52	-18	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Kuressaare
Estonian Meistriliiga
18.09.26	Harju JK Laagri - Kuressaare	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Kuressaare - Tammeka	1:3 ✺
09.09.26	Levadia Tallinn - Kuressaare	4:0 ✺
05.09.26	Kuressaare - Narva Trans	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Kuressaare - Pärnu Vaprus	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLLWT
- Flora Tallinn
Estonian Meistriliiga
20.09.26	Flora Tallinn - Pärnu Vaprus	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Nõmme United - Flora Tallinn	2:3 ✺
08.09.26	Narva Trans - Flora Tallinn	2:2 ✺
05.09.26	Flora Tallinn - Nõmme Kalju	2:1 ✺
02.09.26	Flora Tallinn - Tammeka	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
16.08.26	Flora Tallinn - Kuressaare	2:3
02.07.26	Kuressaare - Flora Tallinn	0:3
07.04.26	Flora Tallinn - Kuressaare	2:1
01.11.25	Flora Tallinn - Kuressaare	2:0
24.08.25	Kuressaare - Flora Tallinn	1:2
27.05.25	Kuressaare - Flora Tallinn	1:3
29.03.25	Flora Tallinn - Kuressaare	5:0

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