Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 29

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Sportland Arena (Tallinn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Jalgpall.ee
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Flora U21		Elva

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.60	3.25
	2.12	3.55	2.65
	2.17	3.87	2.59
	2.07	3.95	2.8
	2.11	3.8	2.55
	2.24	3.9	2.73	Watch
	2.14	3.6	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.96)	3.75 ↓ (3.98)	2.75 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Flora U21
43%

Draw
24.1%

Elva
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

22.6%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

23.5%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flora U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Elva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flora U21 than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elva than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Flora U21 - Elva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Lindmae R. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Jakovenko A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 1 - 2, Alev P. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flora U21 won 3.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Flora U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Flora U21 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flora U21 won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 35:23. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Flora U21 won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.6:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Flora U21	31	15	6	10	72:53	19	51
4	Elva	31	15	6	10	47:44	3	51

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flora U21
Estonian Esiliiga
10.09.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Flora U21	1:5 ✺
04.09.26	Levadia Tallinn U21 - Flora U21	6:2 ✺
29.08.26	Flora U21 - Tallinna Kalev	5:0 ✺
24.08.26	Elva - Flora U21	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	Flora U21 - Viimsi JK	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWTW
- FC Elva
Estonian Esiliiga
10.09.26	Viimsi JK - Elva	5:0 ✺
06.09.26	Elva - Nõmme Kalju U21	1:0 ✺
03.09.26	Nõmme United U21 - Elva	0:1 ✺
24.08.26	Elva - Flora U21	0:0 ✺
20.08.26	Elva - Maardu Linnameeskond	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
24.08.26	Elva - Flora U21	0:0
22.06.26	Elva - Flora U21	0:3
23.04.26	Flora U21 - Elva	3:2
02.11.25	Elva - Flora U21	2:0
12.07.25	Flora U21 - Elva	2:0
29.05.25	Flora U21 - Elva	0:1
03.05.25	Elva - Flora U21	2:2

Upcoming Matches