Match Info

Date: 1 November 2026, Sunday ⏱️ In 4d 3h 📅 Remind Me


	Elva		Tallinna Kalev

	1	X	2
	2.14	3.70	2.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 (2.14)	3.7 (3.7)	2.5 (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 13.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elva
41.1%

Draw
23.8%

Tallinna Kalev
35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

21.8%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Elva have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Tallinna Kalev have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elva than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elva won 2.

Elva has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Kalev has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Kalev could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Elva has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:34 (averaging 0.8:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Elva against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with 10:20 goals (averaging 1.1:2.2 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Elva	34	15	8	11	50:51	-1	53
6	Tallinna Kalev	33	11	7	15	56:62	-6	40

Last Results with these Odds

Elva - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 41.08%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Tallinna Kalev - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 35.16%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Elva
Estonian Esiliiga
25.10.26	Elva - Levadia Tallinn U21	3:3 ✺
18.10.26	Nõmme Kalju U21 - Elva	0:0 ✺
09.10.26	Tartu Welco - Elva	4:0 ✺
Estonian Cup
24.09.26	Elva - Tallinna Kalev	3:2 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
19.09.26	Elva - FC Tallinn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTLWT
- Tallinna Kalev
Estonian Esiliiga
23.10.26	Tartu Welco - Tallinna Kalev	3:2 ✺
19.10.26	Tallinna Kalev - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:2 ✺
10.10.26	Tallinna Kalev - Viimsi JK	1:2 ✺
Estonian Cup
24.09.26	Elva - Tallinna Kalev	3:2 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
18.09.26	Tallinna Kalev - Flora U21	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Cup
24.09.26	Elva - Tallinna Kalev	3:2
Estonian Esiliiga
15.08.26	Tallinna Kalev - Elva	1:0
24.05.26	Elva - Tallinna Kalev	3:1
09.04.26	Tallinna Kalev - Elva	2:1
Estonian Cup
30.10.25	Elva - Tallinna Kalev	1:2
Club Friendly
29.01.23	Elva - Tallinna Kalev	0:0
Estonian Esiliiga
29.09.21	Elva - Tallinna Kalev	1:2

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