Match Info
Esiliiga - Round 26Date: 29 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Sportland Arena (Tallinn)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Flora U21 |
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Tallinna Kalev |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.95 |
4.00 |
2.80 |
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 |
1.98 |
3.90 |
2.65 |
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2.29 |
4.03 |
2.41 |
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1.88 |
4.15 |
2.80 |
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1.90 |
4.26 |
3.23 |
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1.91 |
4.00 |
2.90 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.01) |
4.06 ↑
(3.95) |
2.8 ↑
(2.76) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Flora U21
45.5% | Draw
22.3% | Tallinna Kalev
32.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Flora U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flora U21 than the current prediction. (+1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (-1%)Flora U21 - Tallinna Kalev Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Korjus U. ⚽,
- 37', 2 - 0, Lorenz K. ⚽,
- 42', 3 - 0, Korjus U. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 58', 4 - 0, Jakovenko A. ⚽,
- 81', 5 - 0, Palts J. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flora U21 won 2.In recent matches, Flora U21 has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Kalev is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Recently, Kalev has had a series of home games. Flora U21 could have a small edge in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Flora U21 won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 2:1.9).Including home matches between the teams, Flora U21 won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 2.8:2.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | Flora U21 | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 72:53 | 19 | 51 |
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| 6 | Tallinna Kalev | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 52:55 | -3 | 40 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Flora U21 - the odds 2.01 are the expected chance of winning is 44.76%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Estonian Esiliiga | | | 14.06.26 | Flora U21 - Tallinna Kalev | 3:1 | | 16.04.26 | Tallinna Kalev - Flora U21 | 1:4 | | Club Friendly | | | 18.01.26 | Tallinna Kalev - Flora U21 | 3:1 | | Estonian Esiliiga | | | 16.10.21 | Tallinna Kalev - Flora U21 | 1:0 | | 07.08.21 | Tallinna Kalev - Flora U21 | 1:1 | | 19.06.21 | Flora U21 - Tallinna Kalev | 1:5 | | 24.09.17 | Tallinna Kalev - Flora U21 | 3:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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