Match Info

Esiliiga - Round 2

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Sportland Arena (Tallinn)


	Flora U21		Tartu Welco

	1	X	2
	4.45	4.45	1.52
	4.97	4.71	1.44
	5.02	5.11	1.43
	5	4.4	1.4
	5.13	4.75	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.91 ↑ (2.93)	4.68 ↑ (3.8)	1.45 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flora U21
18.4%

Draw
19.3%

Tartu Welco
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

23.9%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flora U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Flora U21's form might have worsened.

Tartu Welco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tartu Welco's recent form is better than expected.

Flora U21 - Tartu Welco Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Mottus E. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Lorenz K. ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Laasner K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
68', 1 - 3, Kala R. ⚽,
71', 1 - 4, Saupold T. ⚽,
78', 1 - 5, Roots R. ⚽,
90', 1 - 6, Saupold T. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Flora U21 won 0.

Tartu Welco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tartu Welco is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Flora U21 won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 55:23. (average 2.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Flora U21 won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:11. (average 3.1:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Tartu Welco	31	20	5	6	81:39	42	65
3	Flora U21	31	15	6	10	72:53	19	51

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flora U21
Estonian Esiliiga
06.03.26	Viimsi JK - Flora U21	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.01.26	Tallinna Kalev - Flora U21	3:1 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
09.11.25	Flora U21 - Tartu Welco	1:1 ✺
06.11.25	Flora U21 - Nõmme United	1:5 ✺
02.11.25	Elva - Flora U21	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLL
- Tartu JK Welco
Estonian Cup
10.03.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Tartu Welco	2:1 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
05.03.26	Tartu Welco - Tallinna Kalev	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.02.26	Narva Trans - Tartu Welco	2:2 ✺
14.01.26	Paide LM - Tartu Welco	5:1 ✺
Estonian Esiliiga
09.11.25	Flora U21 - Tartu Welco	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Esiliiga
09.11.25	Flora U21 - Tartu Welco	1:1
14.09.25	Tartu Welco - Flora U21	0:0
25.05.25	Tartu Welco - Flora U21	4:2
13.04.25	Flora U21 - Tartu Welco	3:3
10.11.24	Flora U21 - Tartu Welco	0:1
05.08.24	Tartu Welco - Flora U21	3:5
Estonian Cup
31.07.24	Tartu Welco - Flora U21	1:3 ET

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