The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tartu Welco 62.3%
Draw 18.2%
Tallinna Kalev 19.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.1%
21.5%
25.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.1%
20%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tartu Welco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tartu Welco's performance.
Tallinna Kalev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tallinna Kalev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tartu Welco than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tartu Welco that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Tartu Welco - Tallinna Kalev Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Mugra M. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Kala R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 3 - 0, Veensalu E. ⚽,
65', 3 - 1, Mihhailov V. ⚽,
75', 3 - 2, Tomberg M. ⚽,
Preview
Tartu Welco is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Meistriliiga.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tartu Welco won 1.
Tartu Welco has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Kalev has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Tartu Welco may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Tartu Welco holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
Our forecast points to a victory for Tartu Welco in today's match, at odds of 1.37.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Tartu Welco has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:28 (averaging 0.8:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tartu Welco against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 6:16 goals (averaging 1:2.7 per game).
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