The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tallinna Kalev 44.5%
Draw 23.3%
Flora U21 32.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
22.6%
33.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
23.6%
32.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tallinna Kalev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
Flora U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tallinna Kalev than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
The ML Model estimate for Flora U21 aligns with the current prediction.
Tallinna Kalev - Flora U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, De Pizzol O. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, Maasik E. ⚽,
74', 2 - 1, Ilves R. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 2, Oja R. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kalev won 2.
Kalev is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Flora U21 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Flora U21 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Kalev has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:25 (averaging 1.7:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kalev against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:9 goals (averaging 1.7:1.5 per game).
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