Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 8

Date: 11 June 2023, Sunday


	Floresta		Altos

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.4
	2	2.9	3.75
	2.01	2.99	4.32
	1.91	3	3.7
	1.89	3.25	4	Watch
	1.98	3.2	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.12)	3.06 ↑ (2.93)	3.79 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floresta
46.5%

Draw
29.6%

Altos
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

30.6%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

29.6%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floresta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Altos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Floresta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altos than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Floresta - Altos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ze Carlos (G) 31. Adilson Bahia 4. Alisson 16. Davi Castro 5. Jo (C) 13. Lucas Oliveira 10. Marllon 25. Matheus Rocha 7. Roldan 11. Romarinho 17. Vitao	1. Rafael Mariano (C) 25. Diego Valderrama 20. Dieguinho 7. Elielton 13. Flavio Boaventura 4. Lucas Souza 9. Manoel 22. Raul Cardoso 17. Tibiri 16. Vinicius Paiva 18. Yan Philippe
Substitutes
6. Bruno Re 14. Dudu 3. Eduardo Moura 21. Felipe Sales 12. Igor Campos (G) 2. Igor Carvalho 15. Lucas Alisson 27. Pedro Igor 8. Ricardinho 18. Rikelme L. 20. Vitor 9. Wendel	24. Bruno Henrique 5. Dos Santos 15. Gabriel Pires 10. Lele 8. Lucas Bessa 3. Marcelo Sousa 11. Mikael 6. Peu 21. Rodrigo Fumaca 2. Victor Guilherme 12. Vinicius Rodrigues (G)

Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 16).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Floresta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Floresta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Floresta won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Floresta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
08.06.23	Floresta - São Bernardo	2:0 ✺
04.06.23	Botafogo PB - Floresta	1:1 ✺
29.05.23	Floresta - Amazonas	1:1 ✺
22.05.23	Náutico Capibaribe - Floresta	3:1 ✺
14.05.23	Floresta - CS Alagoano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WTTLL
- Associação Atlética de Altos
Brazilian Serie C
07.06.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - Altos	4:1 ✺
03.06.23	Altos - CS Alagoano	1:1 ✺
29.05.23	Aparecidense - Altos	1:2 ✺
20.05.23	Altos - Ypiranga	3:2 ✺
14.05.23	Manaus - Altos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
02.07.22	Floresta - Altos	2:2
04.09.21	Floresta - Altos	1:2
04.07.21	Altos - Floresta	0:1

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