Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 7

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Domingão (Horizonte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping


	Floresta		Amazonas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.78	2.68	2.68	Watch
	2.9	2.86	2.88
	3.03	2.49	2.93	Watch
	2.8	2.5	2.7
	2.79	2.62	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.51)	2.63 ↓ (2.85)	2.77 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floresta
32.1%

Draw
34.9%

Amazonas
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

32.6%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

32.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Amazonas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Floresta - Amazonas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Floresta (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Floresta (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dheimison (C) 3. Afonso 29. Caique 8. Danrley 15. Eliandro 13. Garraty 23. Islan 9. Jeam 5. Jhony Douglas 4. Joao Victor 21. Matheus Martins	33. Renan (G) 6. Fabiano (C) 28. Gabriel Cipriano 26. Gabriel Domingos 4. Iury 8. Jhonny Lucas 2. Leo Coelho 16. Leo Guerra 23. Nunez P. 17. Rafael Vitor 9. Ronaldo
Substitutes
31. Buga 19. Daniel 6. Diego Matos 30. Eduardo 28. Guilherme Borges 1. Jeferson Souza (G) 18. Joao Celeri 10. Matheusinho 17. Nonato 11. Rafinha 22. Tiepo (G) 14. Valdo	13. Alyson 27. Fabinho 25. Italo Silva 1. Joao Lopes (G) 14. Kauan Firmo 7. Marcelo Cirino 3. Marcel Scalese 5. Panzariello I. 10. Rafael Tavares 22. Victor Jesus 11. Vinicius Leite

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Matheus Martins ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Jeam (Penalty Awarded),
41', 2 - 1, Fabiano ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 🟨,
49', 🟨,
49', 🟨,
56', 3 - 1, Garraty ⚽,
59', 3 - 2, Gabriel Domingos ⚽,
62', Leo Guerra ↓, Vinicius Leite ↑,
66', Jeam ↓, Daniel ↑,
66', Matheus Martins ↓, Buga ↑,
66', Eliandro ↓, Joao Celeri ↑,
67', Danrley 🟨,
70', Nunez P. ↓, Rafael Tavares ↑,
74', Garraty ↓, Guilherme Borges ↑,
75', Danrley ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
79', Guilherme Borges 🟨,
81', Fabiano ↓, Alyson ↑,
83', Leo Coelho 🟨,
90+3', Vinicius Leite 🟨,
90+5', Daniel 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Floresta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, Floresta won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Amazonas - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.44%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
09.05.26	Itabaiana - Floresta	0:0 ✺
04.05.26	Floresta - Maranhão	1:2 ✺
25.04.26	Botafogo PB - Floresta	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Floresta - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Floresta - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TLWTT
- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie C
10.05.26	Amazonas - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Amazonas - Caxias	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
29.04.26	Monte Roraima - Amazonas	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
26.04.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Amazonas	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Amazonas - Maranhão	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
29.05.23	Floresta - Amazonas	1:1

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