Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 3

Date: 20 April 2026, Monday

Location: Domingão (Horizonte)


	Floresta		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	2.78	4.45	Watch
	2.05	2.86	4.39
	2.07	2.68	4.69	Watch
	1.95	2.63	4.2
	2.02	2.85	4.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.69)	2.76 ↑ (2.47)	4.44 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floresta
46%

Draw
33.3%

Ferroviária
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

37.6%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floresta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Floresta's performance.

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferroviária might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Floresta - Ferroviária Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Floresta will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Ferroviária will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Floresta (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Ferroviária (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Ferroviária (2.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Ferroviária (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Floresta (votes: 1 - 20%). Ferroviária (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dheimison (C) 29. Caique 19. Daniel 30. Eduardo 15. Eliandro 13. Garraty 23. Islan 9. Jeam 5. Jhony Douglas 4. Joao Victor 17. Nonato	31. Denis Junior (G) 38. Allison 20. David Souza 9. Denilson Chaves 37. Gabriel Ticianelli 4. Guilherme Ferreira (C) 2. Lucas Rodrigues 18. Rafael Carillho 6. Rhuan 23. Schilling Arthur 25. Vinni Faria
Substitutes
8. Danrley 6. Diego Matos 28. Guilherme Borges 1. Jeferson Souza (G) 16. Marcelinho 27. Marco Antonio 10. Matheusinho 21. Matheus Martins 26. Thailor 22. Tiepo (G) 14. Valdo 20. Vitinho	32. Abner 17. Cantarelli M. 24. Carvalho I. (G) 21. Ferreira Januario F. G. 39. Gadu 14. Jhonatan Garcia 27. Nicolas Silva 41. Ortega M. 33. Pedro Estevam 16. Vinicius Meireles
Coaches
Leston Junior	de Paulo Fortes V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Rhuan 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Jhony Douglas ↓, Danrley ↑,
60', Daniel ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
67', Denis Junior 🟨,
75', Gabriel Ticianelli ↓, Gadu ↑,
76', Garraty ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
79', Schilling Arthur ↓, Vinicius Meireles ↑,
79', Vinni Faria ↓, Abner ↑,
80', Allison ↓, Pedro Estevam ↑,
82', Nonato ↓, Guilherme Borges ↑,
90+2', Lucas Rodrigues ↓, Nicolas Silva ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

Ferroviária's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Floresta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Including home match between the teams, Floresta won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Ferroviaria: 23.95%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
11.04.26	Floresta - Santa Cruz Recife	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Internacional de Limeira - Floresta	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
26.02.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Floresta	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Ceará - Floresta	4:0 ✺
15.02.26	Floresta - Ceará	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLLL
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
15.04.26	Ferroviária - CA Juventus	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
11.04.26	Ferroviária - Botafogo PB	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
08.04.26	Sertãozinho - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
04.04.26	Maringá - Ferroviária	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
29.03.26	Ferroviária - São José-SP	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
04.05.24	Floresta - Ferroviária	1:4

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