Match Info

Date: 14 May 2022, Saturday


	Floresta		Manaus

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.8	2.8
	2.5	2.75	2.85
	2.53	2.78	3.25
	2.45	2.62	2.9
	2.47	2.94	2.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.3)	2.78 ↓ (2.88)	2.95 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floresta
36.5%

Draw
32.7%

Manaus
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

31.1%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

35.5%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Manaus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	33.3%	11.1%

Floresta - Manaus Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Floresta will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Manaus will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Floresta: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage)).

Floresta is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Manaus is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Floresta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Floresta won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
08.05.22	Ypiranga - Floresta	2:0 ✺
02.05.22	Botafogo SP - Floresta	0:1 ✺
24.04.22	Floresta - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
16.04.22	Vitória Salvador - Floresta	0:1 ✺
10.04.22	Floresta - Confiança	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 LWTWW
- Manaus FC
Brazilian Serie C
07.05.22	Manaus - Confiança	0:0 ✺
30.04.22	Vitória Salvador - Manaus	1:0 ✺
24.04.22	Manaus - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
16.04.22	Manaus - Remo	1:0 ✺
11.04.22	Brasil de Pelotas - Manaus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
14.08.21	Floresta - Manaus	2:2
12.06.21	Manaus - Floresta	2:1

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