Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 10

Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Domingão (Horizonte)


	Floresta		Figueirense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.10	2.75	3.50
	2.1	2.78	3.65	Watch
	2.19	2.9	3.8
	2.31	2.55	4.09	Watch
	2.1	2.63	3.6
	2.11	2.78	3.73	Watch
	2.15	2.9	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.18)	2.76 ↓ (2.84)	3.67 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floresta
42.2%

Draw
33%

Figueirense
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

32.2%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

31.1%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floresta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Figueirense aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Floresta - Figueirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Floresta will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Dheimison (C) 3. Afonso 31. Buga 29. Caique 15. Eliandro 13. Garraty 9. Jeam 4. Joao Victor 21. Matheus Martins 17. Nonato 14. Valdo	52. Igo Gabriel (G) 6. Arthur Henrique 14. Breno 99. Emerson Galego 30. Jean Mangabeira 77. Joao Choco 82. Jose Carlos 2. Leo Maia 3. Leonan Santos 9. Lucas Alves 37. Lucas Dias (C)
Substitutes
19. Daniel 8. Danrley 6. Diego Matos 30. Eduardo 28. Guilherme Borges 23. Islan 1. Jeferson Souza (G) 18. Joao Celeri 27. Marco Antonio 10. Matheusinho 11. Rafinha 22. Tiepo (G)	11. Arthur Martins 8. Dudu 12. Fabricio Santana (G) 35. Flavio 91. Hyuri 70. Igor Bolt 25. Jhonnathan 5. Renan Areias 22. Vitor Ricardo
Coaches
Leston Junior	Raul Cabral

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
39', 1 - 0, Afonso ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Joao Choco ↓, Dudu ↑,
56', Leo Maia ↓, Vitor Ricardo ↑,
56', Lucas Alves ↓, Igor Bolt ↑,
63', Buga ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
63', Marco Antonio ↓, Rafinha ↑,
63', Garraty ↓, Danrley ↑,
67', Lucas Dias 🟨,
69', Arthur Henrique 🟨,
71', (Penalty Awarded),
79', Nonato ↓, Guilherme Borges ↑,
80', Emerson Galego ↓, Hyuri ↑,
84', Dudu ↓, Arthur Martins ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Igor Bolt ⚽,
90', 🟨,
90+1', Jeam ↓, Daniel ↑,
90+5', 1 - 2, Hyuri ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 14).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Figueirense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Floresta will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Floresta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Floresta won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
30.05.26	Floresta - Confiança	1:0 ✺
25.05.26	Paysandu - Floresta	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Floresta - Amazonas	3:2 ✺
09.05.26	Itabaiana - Floresta	0:0 ✺
04.05.26	Floresta - Maranhão	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWTL
- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
31.05.26	Figueirense - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Confiança - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Figueirense - Itabaiana	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Amazonas - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
04.05.26	Figueirense - Barra Santa Catarina	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
23.08.25	Figueirense - Floresta	1:0
20.05.24	Floresta - Figueirense	0:2
24.07.23	Floresta - Figueirense	1:1
24.04.22	Floresta - Figueirense	0:0

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