Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 16

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa (Erechim)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ypiranga		Floresta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.90	2.87	4.00
	1.92	2.98	4.05	Watch
	1.88	3.1	4.3
	1.93	3.12	4.24	Watch
	1.84	3	4.2
	1.87	3.02	4.25	Watch
	1.92	2.85	4.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.98)	2.99 ↓ (3.05)	4.15 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ypiranga
47.9%

Draw
30.3%

Floresta
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

30.3%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

29%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ypiranga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Ypiranga - Floresta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
85. Lucas Maticoli (G) 33. Alex Goncalves 2. Cleiton 27. Dionisio 21. Leo Gobo 16. Lucas Ramos 15. Mago 80. Marcelinho 6. Nicolas 43. Ramon Vinicius 3. Willian Gomes	12. Dheimison (C) 3. Afonso 29. Caique 8. Danrley 15. Eliandro 13. Garraty 23. Islan 4. Joao Victor 7. Matheus Martins 17. Nonato 11. Rafinha
Substitutes
20. Dudu 12. Edu (G) 7. Felipe Ferreira 79. Nathan Zamith 23. Pitol L. 17. Ranisson 41. Ribas E. 5. Robson Lopes 11. Vini Charopem 22. Walce 35. Ze Carlos (G)	31. Buga 2. Cedric 6. Diego Matos 30. Eduardo 9. Gustavinho 1. Jeferson Souza (G) 5. Jhony Douglas 19. Lima M. 10. Matheusinho 26. Thalisson
Coaches
Gabardo Junior	Leston Junior

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
17', Garraty 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Alex Goncalves ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Mago ⚽,
36', Matheus Martins 🟨,
39', 3 - 0, Mago ⚽,
42', Danrley ↓, Buga ↑,
42', Garraty ↓, Jhony Douglas ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Afonso 🟨,
62', 4 - 0, Nicolas ⚽,
63', Jhony Douglas ↓, Thalisson ↑,
68', Dionisio 🟨,
68', Matheus Martins ↓, Lima M. ↑,
68', Rafinha ↓, Gustavinho ↑,
69', Cleiton ↓, Ranisson ↑,
69', Nicolas ↓, Robson Lopes ↑,
69', Dionisio ↓, Nathan Zamith ↑,
69', Lucas Ramos ↓, Dudu ↑,
70', 4 - 1, Lima M. ⚽,
75', Mago ↓, Felipe Ferreira ↑,
82', Joao Victor 🟨,
86', Marcelinho 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 11).

Ypiranga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Floresta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ypiranga is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ypiranga won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Ypiranga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
26.07.26	Ypiranga - Barra Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
12.07.26	Maranhão - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
05.07.26	Ypiranga - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
28.06.26	Ypiranga - Confiança	1:1 ✺
20.06.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Ypiranga	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLWTW
- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
27.07.26	Floresta - Maringá	1:1 ✺
11.07.26	Caxias - Floresta	0:0 ✺
04.07.26	Guarani - Floresta	0:0 ✺
27.06.26	Floresta - Barra Santa Catarina	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	Brusque - Floresta	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
12.07.25	Floresta - Ypiranga	2:1
12.08.24	Floresta - Ypiranga	2:2
14.08.23	Floresta - Ypiranga	2:0
08.05.22	Ypiranga - Floresta	2:0

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