Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP B - ROUND 8

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	Florgrade		Amarante

	1	X	2
	3	2.95	2.2
	3	3	2.3
	3.34	2.96	2.27
	3.22	2.85	2.27
	3.1	2.95	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (3.03)	2.94 ↑ (2.86)	2.26 ↓ (2.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Florgrade
29%

Draw
30.8%

Amarante
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

31.6%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

31.4%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florgrade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florgrade than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

Florgrade is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Amarante is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Amarante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Amarante will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florgrade FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.10.23	Rebordosa - Florgrade	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Florgrade - Paredes	2:0 ✺
01.10.23	Marco 09 - Florgrade	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Paredes - Florgrade	5:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.09.23	Florgrade - Oliveira do Douro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLT
- Amarante FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.10.23	Amarante - Gondomar	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.10.23	Amarante - Académica Coimbra	1:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.10.23	Beira-Mar - Amarante	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Amarante - Valadares Gaia	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
24.09.23	Sertanense - Amarante	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 TWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amarante FC
Portuguese Liga 2
10.10.26	Amarante - Portimonense	✺

Florgrade - Amarante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide