The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amarante 54%
Draw 27.7%
Gondomar 18.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
27.7%
18.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.9%
26.5%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
Gondomar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gondomar than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
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Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: ) and 6).
Amarante in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Recent matches Gondomar is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Amarante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Amarante is a favorite.
Our prediction for today's Amarante to win the game is with odds 1.68.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Amarante won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Amarante won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.