Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 13

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Complexo Desportivo Azevido (Rebordosa)


	Rebordosa		Florgrade

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.1	4.15
	1.8	3.16	4.54	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4.33
	1.74	3.16	4.76
	1.77	3.1	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.64)	3.08 ↓ (3.3)	4.46 ↓ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rebordosa
50.4%

Draw
29.3%

Florgrade
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

27.4%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

26.6%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rebordosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Florgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebordosa than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rebordosa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florgrade than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Rebordosa - Florgrade Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 5).

Rebordosa is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Florgrade's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Rebordosa is a strong favorite.

We predict that Rebordosa will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rebordosa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Including home match between the teams, Rebordosa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rebordosa AC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.12.25	Leça - Rebordosa	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Rebordosa - Vila Real	1:0 ✺
29.11.25	Rebordosa - Vila Meã	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Aparecida - Rebordosa	0:3 ✺
02.11.25	Rebordosa - Resende	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWTWW
- Florgrade FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
14.12.25	Florgrade - Aparecida	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Resende - Florgrade	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Florgrade - Salgueiros 08	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Beira-Mar - Florgrade	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Florgrade - Anadia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.02.24	Florgrade - Rebordosa	0:0
28.10.23	Rebordosa - Florgrade	2:0

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