Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 22

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Florgrade		Beira-Mar

	1	X	2
	2.32	2.98	2.92
	2.24	2.78	3.33
	2.26	2.91	3.27	Watch
	2.25	2.7	3.2
	2.21	3.09	3.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.35)	2.89 ↓ (3)	3.2 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Florgrade
40.2%

Draw
31.4%

Beira-Mar
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.9%

30.4%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

30.4%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Beira-Mar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florgrade than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beira-Mar than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Florgrade - Beira Mar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 8).

Florgrade is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Beira-Mar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Florgrade won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Florgrade won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Florgrade	4	2	1	1	4:2	2	7
10	Beira Mar	4	0	3	1	4:6	-2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Florgrade - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.87%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florgrade FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.03.26	Anadia - Florgrade	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Florgrade - Gouveia	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	União Lamas - Florgrade	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Florgrade - Alpendorada	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Cinfães - Florgrade	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWTT
- SC Beira-Mar
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.03.26	Beira-Mar - Leça	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Vila Real - Beira-Mar	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Beira-Mar - Rebordosa	1:3 ✺
15.02.26	Aparecida - Beira-Mar	1:5 ✺
07.02.26	Beira-Mar - Resende	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.11.25	Beira-Mar - Florgrade	1:0
09.03.24	Beira-Mar - Florgrade	3:0
12.11.23	Florgrade - Beira-Mar	0:0
Taça de Portugal
10.09.23	Florgrade - Beira-Mar	3:1

Florgrade - Beira-Mar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide