Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 18

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Parque Do Bucaquinho (Esmoriz)


	Florgrade		Alpendorada

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.78	2.82
	2.5	2.67	3.02
	2.54	2.73	3.01	Watch
	2.45	2.5	3
	2.4	3.06	2.96
	2.45	2.62	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.53)	2.73 ↓ (2.94)	2.99 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Florgrade
36.5%

Draw
33.2%

Alpendorada
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

31.3%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

30.6%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Alpendorada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florgrade than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Florgrade - Alpendorada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
68', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 5)

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Florgrade may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Florgrade won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Florgrade	4	2	1	1	4:2	2	7
11	FC Alpendorada	4	1	0	3	4:7	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florgrade FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.02.26	Cinfães - Florgrade	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Florgrade - Vila Meã	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Florgrade - Leça	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Vila Real - Florgrade	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Rebordosa - Florgrade	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTTTL
- FC Alpendorada
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.02.26	Alpendorada - Leça	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Vila Real - Alpendorada	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Alpendorada - Rebordosa	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Aparecida - Alpendorada	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Resende - Alpendorada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
28.09.25	Alpendorada - Florgrade	3:1

Upcoming Matches