Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 16

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Parque Do Bucaquinho (Esmoriz)


	Florgrade		Vila Meã

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.88	3
	2.23	2.8	3.34
	2.25	2.93	3.24	Watch
	2.25	2.7	3.2
	2.25	2.81	3.32
	2.22	2.83	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.37)	2.83 ↓ (2.92)	3.23 ↑ (2.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Florgrade
40%

Draw
32%

Vila Meã
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

30.9%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

30.3%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Vila Meã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florgrade than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Meã than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Florgrade - Vila Meã Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
27', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', 1 - 1, ⚽,
65', 2 - 1, ⚽,
76', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 4).

In recent matches, Florgrade has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Vila Meã's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Florgrade won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Florgrade won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Florgrade	4	2	1	1	4:2	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florgrade FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.01.26	Florgrade - Leça	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	Vila Real - Florgrade	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Rebordosa - Florgrade	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Florgrade - Aparecida	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Resende - Florgrade	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTLWT
- AC Vila Meã
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.01.26	Vila Meã - Beira-Mar	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Leça - Vila Meã	4:3 ✺
21.12.25	Anadia - Vila Meã	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
17.12.25	Vila Meã - Leiria	0:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
07.12.25	Vila Meã - Gouveia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
24.08.25	Vila Meã - Florgrade	0:0
07.01.24	Florgrade - Vila Meã	1:3
20.08.23	Vila Meã - Florgrade	0:0

Florgrade - Vila Meã: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide