Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 15

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Parque Do Bucaquinho (Esmoriz)


	Florgrade		Leça

	1	X	2
	3	2.92	2.28
	2.96	2.97	2.39	Watch
	2.75	2.8	2.4
	2.78	3.19	2.45
	2.9	2.85	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.15)	2.95 ↓ (3.15)	2.38 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Florgrade
31.4%

Draw
30.7%

Leça
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Florgrade has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Leça has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Florgrade - Leça Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).

In recent matches, Florgrade has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Leça could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Florgrade won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Florgrade	4	2	1	1	4:2	2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Florgrade FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.01.26	Vila Real - Florgrade	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Rebordosa - Florgrade	1:0 ✺
14.12.25	Florgrade - Aparecida	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Resende - Florgrade	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Florgrade - Salgueiros 08	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLWTT
- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
10.01.26	Leça - Vila Meã	4:3 ✺
14.12.25	Leça - Rebordosa	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Aparecida - Leça	3:4 ✺
29.11.25	Leça - Resende	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Vila Real - Leça	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
17.08.25	Leça - Florgrade	1:0

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