Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: COPA LIBERTADORES - PLAY OFFS - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 8 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Germany	Sport 1+
Netherlands	ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV


	Fluminense		Argentinos Juniors

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.6	5.75	Watch
	1.65	3.5	5.5
	1.66	3.6	5.8
	1.64	3.73	6.34
	1.6	3.3	5
	1.65	3.7	5.5	Watch
	1.68	3.5	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.7)	3.56 ↑ (3.45)	5.61 ↑ (5.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Copa Libertadores with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS En Espa√±ol (Canada)

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense
57%

Draw
26.3%

Argentinos Juniors
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

27.1%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

27.9%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Argentinos Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.9%	3.1%	0%

Fluminense - Argentinos Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: Fluminense will win (31 of 32 users predict this - 96.88%).
Confidence interval (95%): 90.86% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier 33. Nino (C) 30. Felipe Melo 40. Diogo Barbosa 10. Ganso 7. Andre 45. Lima 21. Jhon Arias 14. Cano G. 11. Keno	20. Lanzillotta F. (G) 30. Minissale P. 29. Di Cesare M. 6. Villalba L. 7. Cabrera J. 5. Redondo Solari F. 17. Moyano F. 13. Gonzalez F. 18. Montiel S. 8. Rodriguez A. 32. Gondou L.
Substitutes
20. Danielzinho 13. Felipe Andrade 19. Fernandez L. 37. Giovanni 38. Gonzalez Y. 23. Guga 9. John Kennedy 99. Lele 4. Marlon 8. Martinelli L. M. 22. Pedro Rangel (G) 29. Thiago Santos	1. Acosta M. (G) 16. Cabral R. 21. Dominguez F. 24. Gonzalez L. 15. Heredia L. 41. Lescano A. 11. Nuss T. 33. Riquelme R. D. 2. Torren M. 4. Vega R. 14. Vera G. 10. Veron G.
Coaches
Diniz F.	Milito G.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Recent matches Fluminense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Argentinos Juniors is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fluminense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fluminense is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fluminense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
05.08.23	Fluminense - Palmeiras	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
01.08.23	Argentinos Juniors - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
29.07.23	Fluminense - Santos	1:0 ✺
24.07.23	Coritiba - Fluminense	2:0 ✺
16.07.23	Fluminense - Flamengo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTWLT
- Argentinos Juniors
Copa Libertadores
01.08.23	Argentinos Juniors - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.07.23	Argentinos Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata	2:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
25.07.23	Patronato Parana - Argentinos Juniors	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
22.07.23	San Lorenzo - Argentinos Juniors	0:2 ✺
16.07.23	Argentinos Juniors - Colón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
01.08.23	Argentinos Juniors - Fluminense	1:1

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