Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 2

Date: 9 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Germany	Sport 1+
Portugal	Sport TV2
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Fluminense		Colo-Colo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.6	5
	1.72	3.6	4.95	Watch
	1.74	3.62	5.31
	1.73	3.62	5.31
	1.65	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.68	3.76	5.25	Watch
	1.66	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.4)	3.63 ↓ (3.93)	5.08 ↓ (9.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense
55.5%

Draw
25.9%

Colo-Colo
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

23.7%

10%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

18.5%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fluminense's form might have worsened.

Colo-Colo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Colo-Colo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colo-Colo than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Colo-Colo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	10%	40%

Fluminense - Colo Colo Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Colo-Colo will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier 45. Lima 30. Felipe Melo (C) 12. Marcelo 7. Andre 8. Martinelli 77. Marquinhos 10. PH Ganso 21. Arias J. 14. Cano G.	1. Cortes B. (G) 16. Opazo Lara O. 4. Saldivia A. 37. Falcon M. 21. Wiemberg E. 23. Vidal A. 8. Pavez E. (C) 5. Gil L. 11. Bolados M. 29. Paiva G. 7. Carlos Palacios
Substitutes
5. Alexsander 25. Antonio Carlos 90. Costa D. 80. David Terans 27. Felipe Alves (G) 13. Felipe Andrade 23. Guga 32. Isaac 19. Kaua Elias 18. Lele 17. Lucumi J. 29. Thiago Santos	15. Amor E. 22. Benegas L. 19. Castellani G. 30. De Paul F. (G) 33. Gonzalez R. 13. Gutierrez B. 3. Gutierrez D. 26. Moya M. 10. Parra P. 9. Pizarro D. 34. Pizarro V. 14. Zavala C.
Coaches
Fernando Diniz	Almiron J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Marquinhos ⚽, Arias J. (A),
10', Vidal A. 🟨,
19', 1 - 1, Paiva G. ⚽, Gil L. (A),
39', Felipe Melo 🟨,
41', Wiemberg E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Felipe Melo ↓, Lele ↑,
52', 2 - 1, Cano G. ⚽, Marquinhos (A),
66', Bolados M. ↓, Zavala C. ↑,
79', Paiva G. 🟨,
80', PH Ganso ↓, Felipe Andrade ↑,
80', Cano G. ↓, David Terans ↑,
82', Wiemberg E. 🟨,
86', Paiva G. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
86', Falcon M. ↓, Amor E. ↑,
89', Carlos Palacios ↓, Pizarro D. ↑,
89', Lele ↓, Antonio Carlos ↑,
90+1', Fabio 🟨,
90+1', Lima ↓, Kaua Elias ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Fluminense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Colo-Colo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Colo-Colo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fluminense is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Copa Libertadores
03.04.24	Alianza Lima - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
16.03.24	Flamengo - Fluminense	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Fluminense - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
03.03.24	Fluminense - Botafogo RJ	2:4 ✺
Recopa Sudamericana
29.02.24	Fluminense - LDU Quito	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TTLLW
- Colo-Colo
Chilean Primera Division
06.04.24	Ñublense - Colo-Colo	3:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.04.24	Colo-Colo - Cerro Porteño	1:0 ✺
Chilean Primera Division
30.03.24	Colo-Colo - Everton de Viña	4:1 ✺
17.03.24	Coquimbo Unido - Colo-Colo	0:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
13.03.24	Colo-Colo - Sportivo Trinidense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWTW

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