The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fluminense 49.8%
Draw 29.6%
Botafogo RJ 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.2%
29.3%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.2%
27.9%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fluminense's performance.
Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo RJ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fluminense that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
18.7%
6.2%
Fluminense - Botafogo RJ Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 12 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 59.8% – 100%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier (C) 3. Jemmes 22. Freytes J. 6. Rene 5. Bernal F. 8. Martinelli 17. Canobbio A. 32. Acosta L. 90. Serna K. 9. John Kennedy
22. Neto (G) 3. Ythallo 28. Newton 20. Barboza A. 2. Vitinho 25. Allan 8. Danilo 13. Alex Telles (C) 7. Artur 19. Arthur Cabral 10. Montoro A.
Substitutes
23. Guga 13. Guilherme Arana 35. Hercules 4. Ignacio 21. Igor Rabello 15. Matheus Reis 30. Moreno S. 94. Otavio 10. PH Ganso 11. Savarino J. 7. Soteldo Y. 98. Vitor Eudes (G)
48. Arthur Novaes 14. Barrera J. 37. Barria K. 36. Gabriel Abdias 34. Justino G. 42. Kadu Santos 59. Kauan Toledo 24. Leo Linck (G) 11. Matheus Martins 16. Nathan Fernandes 77. Villalba Jaume L. M. 55. Wallace Davi
Coaches
Zubeldia L.
Anselmi M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Samuel Xavier 🟨,
17', Ythallo 🟨,
24', Allan ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
26', Canobbio A. 🟨,
28', Zubeldia L. 🟨,
45+1', Montoro A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ythallo ↓, Nathan Fernandes ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Acosta L. ⚽,
61', Canobbio A. 🟥,
69', Alex Telles ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
69', Acosta L. 🟨,
74', Acosta L. ↓, Guilherme Arana ↑,
74', Samuel Xavier ↓, Guga ↑,
75', Guga 🟨,
82', Vitinho ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
82', Artur ↓, Barria K. ↑,
86', Newton 🟨,
87', John Kennedy ↓, Hercules ↑,
90', Freytes J. 🟨,
90+5', Serna K. ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 2.
Fluminense is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Botafogo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Fluminense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Fluminense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Fluminense: Cano G.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Botafogo: Correa J.
(Muscle Injury)
Marcal
(Knee Injury)
Ramos C.
(Knock)
There are questionable in Fluminense: Nonato
(Injury)
There are questionable in Botafogo: Rodriguez S.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.2:1.2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Fluminense
29
14
9
6
48:36
12
51
13
Botafogo RJ
29
9
8
12
42:47
-5
35
Last Results with these Odds
Botafogo RJ - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 29.44%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Bosnia-and-herzegovina
Brazil
Ecuador
Israel
Kosovo
Mexico
North-central-america
Paraguay
Russia
Serbia
Spain
United-kingdom
Uruguay
Usa
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Fabio (G) 
Freytes J. 
Bernal F. 
Serna K. 
Savarino J. 
Barria K. 
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