Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 21

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Claus R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	TV Globo Internacional


	Fluminense		Bahia

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.50	5.25	Watch
	1.70	3.80	4.75
	1.70	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.78	5.33
	1.78	3.79	4.54
	1.71	3.70	5.25
	1.74	3.73	5.04	Watch
	1.73	3.85	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (1.84)	3.74 ↑ (3.65)	4.99 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense
55.3%

Draw
25.5%

Bahia
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

25.8%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	23.1%	15.4%

Fluminense - Bahia Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Fluminense will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Bahia will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense: 35% – 88%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fluminense (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier (C) 4. Ignacio 22. Freytes J. 6. Rene 16. Nonato 8. Martinelli 17. Canobbio A. 32. Acosta L. 30. Soteldo Y. 7. Hulk	1. Ronaldo Strada (G) 31. Gomez R. 44. Marcos Victor 21. Ramos S. 46. Luciano Juba 5. Nicolas Acevedo (C) 11. Rodrigo 7. Ademir 6. Jean Lucas 16. Erick Pulga 9. Veliz A.
Substitutes
25. Alisson 14. Cano G. 23. Guga 35. Hercules 21. Igor Rabello 27. Marcelo Pitaluga (G) 94. Otavio 10. PH Ganso 28. Riquelme Felipe 11. Savarino J. 90. Serna K. 3. Thiago Silva	63. David Martins 10. Everton Ribeiro 17. Herrera G. (G) 4. Kanu 57. Kaue Junior 43. Luiz Gustavo 15. Michel Araujo 77. Ruan Pablo 23. Sanabria M. 55. Sidney Duarte 67. Wendel Passos 12. Willian Jose
Coaches
Zubeldia L.	Mucke R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Ignacio 🟨,
42', Freytes J. ↓, Thiago Silva ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Erick Pulga 🟨,
62', Acosta L. ↓, Savarino J. ↑,
62', Thiago Silva ↓, Igor Rabello ↑,
62', Martinelli ↓, Hercules ↑,
65', Ademir ↓, Everton Ribeiro ↑,
65', Luciano Juba ↓, Michel Araujo ↑,
74', Jean Lucas ↓, David Martins ↑,
75', Erick Pulga ↓, Kaue Junior ↑,
75', Hulk ↓, Cano G. ↑,
88', Veliz A. ↓, Willian Jose ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 3.

Fluminense is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In recent matches, Bahia has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fluminense is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Fluminense: Jemmes (Thigh Injury) Millan J. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Bahia: Caio Alexandre (Hamstring Injury) David Duarte (Yellow Cards) Leo Vieira (Knee Injury) Moreno M. (Lacking Match Fitness) Ze Guilherme (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Fluminense: Guilherme Arana (Injury) Matheus Reis (Knee Injury) Serna K. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fluminense won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:3. (average 1.6:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Fluminense	29	14	9	6	48:36	12	51
6	Bahia	29	12	10	7	43:36	7	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
26.07.26	Grêmio - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
17.07.26	Fluminense - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.26	Fluminense - Bahia	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Fluminense - Nova Iguaçu	6:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
31.05.26	Cruzeiro - Fluminense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTWWT
- EC Bahia
Brazilian Serie A
26.07.26	Bahia - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
21.07.26	Atlético Mineiro - Bahia	1:1 ✺
17.07.26	Bahia - Chapecoense	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.26	Fluminense - Bahia	2:0 ✺
04.07.26	Bahia - Montevideo City Torque	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.07.26	Fluminense - Bahia	2:0
Brazilian Serie A
05.02.26	Bahia - Fluminense	1:1
07.12.25	Fluminense - Bahia	2:0
Copa do Brasil
10.09.25	Fluminense - Bahia	2:0
28.08.25	Bahia - Fluminense	1:0
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.25	Bahia - Fluminense	3:3
04.08.24	Fluminense - Bahia	1:0

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