Match Info
Copa Rio - 3rd placeDate: 16 September 2026, Wednesday
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Sampaio Corrêa FE |
|
Madureira |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.05 |
3.00 |
3.30 |
|
 |
2.05 |
3 |
3.25 |
|
 |
2.04 |
3.08 |
3.56 |
|
 |
2.09 |
2.91 |
3.69 |
|
 |
2 |
2.75 |
3.45 |
|
 |
2.04 |
2.94 |
3.59 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(2.04) |
2.95 ↓
(3.22) |
3.47 ↑
(3.2) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sampaio Corrêa FE
43.8% | Draw
30.4% | Madureira
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampaio Corrêa FE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)Madureira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)The ML Model estimate for Sampaio Corrêa FE aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madureira than the current prediction. (+2.4%)Sampaio Corrêa FE - Madureira Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Elias ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
First leg.Sampaio Corrêa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).In recent matches, Madureira has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). Sampaio Corrêa could have a small edge in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Sampaio Corrêa won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Campeonato Carioca | | | 22.01.26 | Madureira - Sampaio Corrêa FE | 2:1 | | 16.03.25 | Sampaio Corrêa FE - Madureira | 4:2 | | 12.03.25 | Madureira - Sampaio Corrêa FE | 1:2 | | 06.02.25 | Madureira - Sampaio Corrêa FE | 0:1 | | 14.02.24 | Sampaio Corrêa FE - Madureira | 2:1 |
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