Match Info

Serie D - Round 1

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Fluminense Piaui		Ferroviário Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	2.92	2.88	2.4
	3.05	2.84	2.43
	2.99	2.9	2.46	Watch
	2.75	2.88	2.4
	2.99	2.86	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.55)	2.87 ↓ (3.1)	2.42 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense Piaui
30.9%

Draw
31.6%

Ferroviário Fortaleza
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

29.3%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

28.5%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense Piaui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense Piaui than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fluminense Piaui, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Fluminense Piaui - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Fluminense PI has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ferroviário has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Fluminense PI has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Fluminense PI won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Including home match between the teams, Fluminense PI won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense Piaui
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.03.26	Confiança - Fluminense Piaui	2:0 ✺
25.03.26	Fluminense Piaui - Juazeirense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Piauiense
14.03.26	Piauí - Fluminense Piaui	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.03.26	Goiás - Fluminense Piaui	3:0 ✺
05.03.26	Trem - Fluminense Piaui	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLLW
- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.03.26	Maranhão - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:3 ✺
24.03.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
26.02.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Floresta	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Fortaleza - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Fortaleza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
22.07.23	Fluminense Piaui - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:2
07.05.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Fluminense Piaui	2:0

Fluminense Piaui - Ferroviário Fortaleza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide