Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 9

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday


	Fluminense U20		São Paulo U20

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.2	2.5
	2.65	3.3	2.41
	2.81	3.27	2.48
	2.69	3.34	2.4	Watch
	2.77	3.28	2.41
	2.65	3.3	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.35)	3.28 ↑ (3.25)	2.44 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense U20
34.4%

Draw
28%

São Paulo U20
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

26.7%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

25.5%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

São Paulo U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense U20 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Paulo U20 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Fluminense U20 - São Paulo U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Marlon Almeida ⚽,
22', 2 - 0, Vagno ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Maik 🟥,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense U20 won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

São Paulo U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Fluminense U20 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense U20
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
04.05.25	Fluminense U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	0:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
30.04.25	Juventude U20 - Fluminense U20	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
26.04.25	Madureira U20 - Fluminense U20	0:2 ✺
Brasileiro U20
23.04.25	Fluminense U20 - América MG U20	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
19.04.25	Nova Iguaçu U20 - Fluminense U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWTT
- São Paulo U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
03.05.25	São Paulo U20 - Flamengo de Guarulhos U20	4:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
30.04.25	São Paulo U20 - Atlético Mineiro U20	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
26.04.25	Grêmio Prudente U20 - São Paulo U20	0:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
23.04.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - São Paulo U20	4:1 ✺
16.04.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - São Paulo U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copinha
16.01.25	Fluminense U20 - São Paulo U20	0:1 penalties
Brasileiro U20
21.08.24	Fluminense U20 - São Paulo U20	1:2
03.10.21	São Paulo U20 - Fluminense U20	0:2
04.10.20	Fluminense U20 - São Paulo U20	1:0
18.07.19	São Paulo U20 - Fluminense U20	2:0
13.09.17	Fluminense U20 - São Paulo U20	1:1
24.08.17	São Paulo U20 - Fluminense U20	2:1

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