The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Giovanni 30.3%
Draw 27.5%
Domagnano 42.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.6%
26.7%
46.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.6%
25.7%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Giovanni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Domagnano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Giovanni than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Domagnano than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
San Giovanni - Domagnano Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Ferraro N. ⚽, Bonetti M. (A),
42', 0 - 2, Bonetti M. ⚽, Sopranzi P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Domagnano is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Giovanni won 1.
San Giovanni is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Domagnano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Domagnano could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, San Giovanni won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, San Giovanni won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Domagnano
4
2
0
2
7:6
1
6
13
San Giovanni
4
1
0
3
4:10
-6
3
Last Results with these Odds
San Giovanni - the odds 3.46 are the expected chance of winning is 26.58%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.