Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


San-marino	San Marino RTV


	Domagnano		Folgore

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.5	1.8	Watch
	3.65	3.58	1.79
	3.76	3.67	1.82	Watch
	3.74	3.74	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.71 ↑ (3.63)	3.62 ↑ (3.59)	1.82 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Domagnano
24.6%

Draw
25.2%

Folgore
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.1%

25.4%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

24.8%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Domagnano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Folgore has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Domagnano than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Domagnano - Folgore Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 0 - 1, Pancotti S. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Domagnano won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Folgore is considered a favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Domagnano won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Domagnano won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Folgore	4	4	0	0	10:1	9	12
6	Domagnano	4	2	0	2	7:6	1	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Domagnano
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
25.04.26	Domagnano - Folgore	3:7 ✺
18.04.26	San Giovanni - Domagnano	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Domagnano - La Fiorita	1:1 ✺
07.04.26	Faetano - Domagnano	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Virtus - Domagnano	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTTWL
- Folgore Falciano Calcio
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
25.04.26	Domagnano - Folgore	3:7 ✺
19.04.26	Folgore - San Marino Academy U22	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Juvenes-Dogana - Folgore	2:2 ✺
08.04.26	Folgore - Cosmos	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Tre Penne - Folgore	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
25.04.26	Domagnano - Folgore	3:7
11.02.26	Folgore - Domagnano	2:1
26.04.25	Folgore - Domagnano	0:4
11.01.25	Domagnano - Folgore	0:1
03.02.24	Domagnano - Folgore	1:0
04.10.23	Folgore - Domagnano	1:1
05.03.23	Folgore - Domagnano	0:2

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