Match Info

Campionato Sammarinese - Round 27

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Folgore		Cosmos

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.25	4.15	Watch
	1.72	3.4	4.17
	1.97	3.14	3.93	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.2
	1.72	3.38	4.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.86)	3.25 ↓ (3.5)	4.19 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folgore
50.6%

Draw
27.8%

Cosmos
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

26.2%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

25.7%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folgore has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Cosmos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cosmos than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Folgore - Cosmos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 0.

Folgore is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cosmos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Folgore is considered a favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:21. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Folgore won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Folgore	4	4	0	0	10:1	9	12
5	Cosmos	4	2	1	1	9:4	5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Folgore Falciano Calcio
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
22.03.26	Tre Penne - Folgore	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Folgore - San Giovanni	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Folgore - La Fiorita	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	AC Libertas - Folgore	2:4 ✺
21.02.26	Pennarossa - Folgore	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TTTWW
- SS Cosmos
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
21.03.26	Cosmos - Cailungo	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	AC Libertas - Cosmos	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Cosmos - Fiorentino	0:1 ✺
01.03.26	Murata - Cosmos	0:3 ✺
22.02.26	Cosmos - San Marino Academy U22	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

San Marino Campionato Sammarinese
06.12.25	Cosmos - Folgore	1:0
30.03.25	Cosmos - Folgore	1:1
30.11.24	Folgore - Cosmos	1:4
23.01.24	Cosmos - Folgore	2:1
23.09.23	Folgore - Cosmos	0:0
15.04.23	Cosmos - Folgore	5:0
07.01.23	Folgore - Cosmos	0:4

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