The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chievo 32.1%
Draw 34.4%
Folgore Caratese 33.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.6%
26.1%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.8%
28.3%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chievo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chievo's form might have worsened.
Folgore Caratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Folgore Caratese's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chievo than the current prediction. (+20.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chievo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Folgore Caratese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chievo - Folgore Caratese Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
1X2, 1st Half - draw (1.96) (votes: 0 - 0%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Gjonaj E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
50', 0 - 2, ⚽,
64', 0 - 3, ⚽,
79', 1 - 3, ⚽,
86', 1 - 4, ⚽,
89', 🟥,
Preview
One of todayโs top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Folgore Caratese may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Chievo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Chievo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
Including home match between the teams, Chievo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Chievo
6
5
0
1
14:6
8
15
Last Results with these Odds
Chievo - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 48.58%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.