Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Virtus CiseranoBergamo		Folgore Caratese

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.6	1.72
	3.47	3.78	1.85	Watch
	4.53	3.64	1.65
	4.6	3.85	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.68)	3.72 ↓ (3.9)	1.71 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus CiseranoBergamo
22.1%

Draw
24.5%

Folgore Caratese
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

23.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

21.6%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus CiseranoBergamo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Folgore Caratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus CiseranoBergamo than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Folgore Caratese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Folgore Caratese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Caccia N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
82', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CiseranoBergamo won 0.

CiseranoBergamo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Folgore Caratese is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

CiseranoBergamo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, CiseranoBergamo has had a series of away games.

Folgore Caratese could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, CiseranoBergamo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, CiseranoBergamo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus CiseranoBergamo
Italian Serie D - Group B
26.10.25	Real Calepina - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Oltrepo - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Brusaporto - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
05.10.25	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Milan Futuro	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Caldiero Terme - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TTWWT
- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
26.10.25	Folgore Caratese - Milan Futuro	2:3 ✺
19.10.25	Casatese - Folgore Caratese	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Folgore Caratese - Chievo	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
08.10.25	Folgore Caratese - Club Milano	2:3 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group B
05.10.25	Pavia - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
25.02.24	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Folgore Caratese	1:2
22.10.23	Folgore Caratese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:0
22.01.23	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Folgore Caratese	2:2
18.09.22	Folgore Caratese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:0
20.02.22	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Folgore Caratese	0:1
17.10.21	Folgore Caratese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:1

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