Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Folgore Caratese		Villa Valle

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.2	3.55
	1.85	3.43	3.82	Watch
	1.85	3.1	3.6
	1.71	3.83	4.48
	1.84	3.4	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.02)	3.39 ↑ (3.15)	3.85 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folgore Caratese
49.6%

Draw
26.8%

Villa Valle
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.5%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.6%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folgore Caratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Folgore Caratese's performance.

Villa Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Folgore Caratese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa Valle than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Folgore Caratese - Villa Valle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Folgore Caratese won 2.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Recently, Folgore Caratese has had a series of away games.

Folgore Caratese might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Folgore Caratese won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Folgore Caratese won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Villa Valle	6	1	4	1	6:6	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
06.01.26	Varesina - Folgore Caratese	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Sondrio - Folgore Caratese	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Folgore Caratese - Brusaporto	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Real Calepina - Folgore Caratese	0:1 ✺
30.11.25	Oltrepo - Folgore Caratese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTTWW
- ASD Villa Valle
Italian Serie D - Group B
06.01.26	Villa Valle - Real Calepina	2:2 ✺
21.12.25	Villa Valle - Breno	4:0 ✺
14.12.25	Oltrepo - Villa Valle	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Villa Valle - Caldiero Terme	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Virtus CiseranoBergamo - Villa Valle	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
03.03.24	Folgore Caratese - Villa Valle	2:2
29.10.23	Villa Valle - Folgore Caratese	1:1
19.03.23	Villa Valle - Folgore Caratese	2:1
13.11.22	Folgore Caratese - Villa Valle	1:0
06.03.22	Villa Valle - Folgore Caratese	1:3
24.10.21	Folgore Caratese - Villa Valle	2:2
30.10.19	Villa Valle - Folgore Caratese	1:4

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